Anchorage, Alaska is set to host a pivotal moment with a meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, two of the world’s most influential figures known for their deal-making prowess. The meeting, coming six years after their last, has the potential to influence the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
The central question is whether an agreement is achievable. The success depends on the ability of both leaders to reach an accord. Trump presents himself as a skilled negotiator, while Putin’s vast experience, political understanding, and strategic capabilities establish him as a seasoned player. Persuading Putin to accept Trump’s conditions will be a challenge. To assess who might have the advantage, it’s useful to look at recent outcomes.
Trump’s track record is marked by problematic deals. For instance, North Korea illustrates this. Trump expressed willingness to negotiate with Kim Jong Un to denuclearize North Korea. However, Kim’s sister stated the U.S. must recognize North Korea’s nuclear status, warning against disarmament through dialogue. In the case of Iran, Trump withdrew from the Obama-era nuclear agreement, without securing a new accord. In his second term, Trump gave Iran a deadline to adhere to the nuclear agreement, but neither Iran nor Israel conceded, leading to a 12-day conflict. Iran continues to maintain its position.
Additional failures include Brazil. Trump attempted to bring Brazil into line, but failed. He imposed a tariff of up to 50% to protect former President Bolsonaro. Despite this, Brazilian President Lula da Silva refused to yield, causing a strain in relations. These instances demonstrate Trump’s deals often create initial headlines but ultimately face complications.
Putin’s deal-making approach differs considerably from Trump’s. Putin is known for his focus on action over words. Experts suggest he negotiates in a controlled environment. A recent example is his relationship with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Despite Kim’s reputation as an isolated and untrustworthy leader, Putin has fostered a close alliance without fanfare. North Korea has even supplied soldiers to support Russia in the Ukraine conflict. Thus, whereas Trump’s deals stay in the media spotlight, Putin’s are often finalized behind closed doors with long-term effects.